Is Spirit Airlines Stock a Good Investment?

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Introduction:

Spirit Airlines



Spirit Airlines, Inc. is a major United States ultra-low-cost airline headquartered in Miramar, Florida, in the Miami metropolitan area. Spirit operates scheduled flights throughout the United States, the Caribbean, and Latin America. 

The company originally started as Clippert Trucking Company back in 1964. Spirit Airlines is an ultra-low-cost, low-fare airline that operates scheduled flights throughout the United States, as well as Latin America and the Caribbean.

However, in 1974, the company underwent a name change and became known as Ground Air Transfer, Inc. Later in 1983, an airline service was established in Macomb County, Michigan, by Ned Homfeld and was named Charter One Airlines. This Detroit-based charter tour operator provided travel packages to entertainment destinations.


"Is Spirit Airlines stock a good investment?"

Shares of Spirit Airlines have decreased by around 50% after a U.S. District Court judge blocked the proposed merger between Spirit Airlines and JetBlue. However, on Monday, there was a surge in Spirit Airlines' shares after the announcement that both Spirit and JetBlue would appeal the decision. JetBlue had planned to acquire Spirit for $3.8 billion, which would have created the fifth-largest airline in the United States if the deal had been approved. The merger was scheduled to be completed in 2022.

Analyzing the Investment Appeal:

Pros:

Low-cost model:

Spirit Airlines fills a niche for leisure travelers, college students, missionaries, and others looking for cheap basement, no-frills fares. From a tourism standpoint in South Florida, Spirit is a lifeline. Part of Spirit's challenges is that its prices are so low that it is competing not only with airlines but also with buses and trains.

According to industry experts, the demand for air travel is expected to bounce back soon. Analysts predict that the sector will witness a substantial increase in profits, reaching up to $9.8 billion by the end of 2023. Additionally, aviation companies are likely to profit from the decrease in fuel prices, which will positively affect their margins in the short term.

The revenue of airlines from related industries increased by 12-37% in 1Q 2023, indicating high demand in the tourism sector. Spirit Airlines boasts one of the lowest costs per passenger mile in the industry.

Strong domestic market:

Every year, millions of tourists visit the famous cities, national parks, and entertainment options of the United States from all over the world. This surge in visitors and increased spending on travel has resulted in the travel and tourism industry contributing over two trillion U.S. dollars to the country's GDP in 2022. The revenue of the Travel & Tourism industry is predicted to continue growing in the coming years. The tourism market will reach US$198.70bn in 2024.

Recent developments:


According to Fitch Ratings, the standalone credit profile of Spirit Airlines (B/Negative) is under pressure after a judge's ruling blocked the company's proposed merger with JetBlue in January 2024. As of the same date, the latest closing stock price for Spirit Airlines was $7.98. The all-time high for Spirit Airlines' stock closing price was $78.59 on December 08, 2014. Moreover, the stock price for Spirit Airlines hit a 52-week high of $20.29, which is 154.3% higher than the current share price. Conversely, Spirit Airlines' 52-week low stock price is $4.04, which is 49.4% lower than the current share price. Lastly, the average Spirit Airlines' stock price for the past 52 weeks is $16.18.

 History:


JetBlue Airways is currently seeking court approval to acquire Spirit Airlines, despite facing opposition from the Justice Department. The Justice Department argues that the merger would lead to higher fares and less competition in the industry. A federal judge has recently blocked JetBlue Airways from buying Spirit Airlines, citing concerns that the $3.8 billion deal would significantly reduce competition.

Cons:

Financial challenges:

In January 2024, Fitch Ratings from Chicago reported that Spirit Airlines (B/Negative) is facing a credit profile challenge after a judge blocked its merger with JetBlue. To address the impact of the pandemic and intense competition, Spirit Airlines has engaged in the sale-leaseback of 25 aircraft which has generated approximately $419 million in cash. The company is also facing a significant refinancing risk as its $1.1 billion loyalty program debt is coming due in September 2025. However, other potential liquidity sources for the airline include additional sale-leasebacks, EETC offerings, financing the Dania Pointe headquarters campus, and engine-linked payments from Pratt & Whitney.

Operational risks:

The airline industry is facing a tough time as declining revenues and rising labor costs are putting pressure on cash flows. At the same time, large order books will require significant capital spending in the coming years, which could exacerbate the issue of overcapacity. Despite holding substantial cash and securities balances, certain carriers such as Hawaiian Airlines, JetBlue, and Spirit are facing concerns about their financial health due to the potential for high cash burn in the coming quarter and years. 
This has led to sharp declines in the trading prices of their debt and equity instruments during October. Spirit and JetBlue are particularly affected due to their disproportionate exposure to the domestic market and Pratt & Whitney engines, which is resulting in more severe margin compression than their peers.

It's possible that JetBlue and Spirit may face difficulties in financing their order books, especially if their merger is blocked or if they're unable to achieve the expected $600 million to $700 million in synergies. The market has become skeptical about the merger's approval, as shown by Spirit Airlines shares trading at less than one-third of the prepayment-adjusted merger all-cash takeout price. 
JetBlue has commitments of about $1 billion for flight equipment in the fourth quarter of 2023 alone, and about $2 billion per year in 2024 and 2025. Meanwhile, Spirit has commitments of over $1 billion annually from 2025 through 2027. Spirit may find it challenging to refinance when the third-quarter cash burn exceeds $250 million, considering they have a $1.1 billion maturity in 2025.

Competitive landscape:


Full-service airlines aim to make profits from their entire network and provide a range of options to their customers. Conversely, low-cost carriers prioritize the profitability of each individual route and offer point-to-point connectivity. Low-cost carriers tend to operate a single type of aircraft across their fleet, while full-service airlines have a diverse fleet to serve different routes.


Low-cost carriers receive almost all of their bookings, approximately 98%, through their websites. In contrast, only about 20% of customers of full-service airlines make reservations via the Internet. Internet bookings are more popular among leisure travelers who prefer low-cost carriers, compared to business travelers who often travel to multiple destinations. Spirit Airlines, Inc. is a major ultra-low-cost airline in the United States.
Advantages Of Low-Cost or Budget Airlines

"Saving money is one of the most significant advantages of choosing budget airlines. Passengers can use the money they save for other purposes. Other benefits of budget airlines include cheap parking, promotions and packages, a wide range of destinations, lack of luxurious amenities, the possibility of delayed or late flights, safety concerns, and a hassle-free travel experience."
Spirit Airlines is a low-cost American air carrier headquartered in Miramar, Florida. It offers some of the most affordable airfares in the US travel market and is also the biggest ultra-low-cost airline in the country. In terms of safety, Spirit Airlines is safe to fly with. Its safety record is comparable to other major airlines operating in the United States.


 Investor Considerations:

Investors who are currently invested in Spirit Airlines, Inc. (SAVE) should closely monitor the stock's performance in the options market. The Jul 21, 2023, $10.00 Call recorded one of the highest implied volatilities of all equity options today. To assess the company's financial stability, it's crucial to examine its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. 

Additionally, analyzing essential financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), can provide insight into whether the company's stock is reasonably valued or over/undervalued. Moreover, researching the leadership team of Spirit Airlines and their previous track record is also essential. Effective management can help the company overcome challenging situations and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increase their net worth.

Preparing for a high-cost future requires cutting down on current expenses and investing that money for the long term. It's important to start early because the compounding effect will be larger. You may be wondering which stocks to invest in for such a long period and if the companies' fundamentals will still be strong 5-7 years from now. StockBasket is a product that can help you with this. It's a basket of high-quality stocks, carefully selected by experts to help you stay invested for the long term without worrying about anything else.

Alternative Investment Options:


It's important to invest for the long term to capture high returns in the stock market, which has historically produced higher gains over long periods compared to bonds. Additionally, there are seven types of alternative investments that everyone should be aware of. These include Private Equity, debt, Hedge Funds, Real Estate, Commodities, and Collectibles.  

Collectibles refer to a diverse range of unique items, such as antiques, rare books, artwork, and more. Other examples of collectibles include rare wines, vintage cars, fine art, mint-condition toys, stamps, coins, baseball cards, and structured products. It's essential to understand the unique characteristics of each investment opportunity before investing in them.

Conclusion:

If you are planning to invest in a stock, it is important to research the company and the stock's performance history beforehand. Some essential pieces of information that you should look into include the company's annual reports. These reports provide valuable insights into the company's business activities, whether it's making a profit or loss, and its strategy for the future.


In this post, we have provided several airline stock names that are available in the USA market, including Wheels Up Experience, Skywest, Copa Holdings S.A., and Allegiant Travel ALGT. Additionally, we have discussed the benefits and drawbacks of investing in Spirit Airlines stock, along with its risk profile and alternative options. It is essential to conduct proper research and carefully evaluate before investing in any stock.

We recommend that investors refer to additional resources to research Spirit Airlines' stock price, news, quotes, and historical data. Furthermore, investors can seek assistance from their stockbroker or investment advisor for more information regarding stock performance.


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